I don’t think this is the general consensus at all. The whole Epstein thing really ripped the MAGA tribe in half. There’s a lot of people over there that are upset about it.
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I’d say it can range from your 40/60 to 60/40 depending on the area. Where I live and with the people I know, there are a lot of libertarian leaning people (they say they’re conservative but they just aren’t) and they reeeeaaaallllllyyyyy don’t like Trump now. Then there’s the people that are “Red or Dead”. Those are the ones that match the online descriptions