My concern at this point is that a lot of electoral positions in swing states - e.g. Georgia - appear to have been co-opted by overtly partisan Trumpians. And I’m not convinced they’ll abide by the court injunctions of “that’s not your fucking job, just do your job and nothing else”, because Trump would almost certainly pardon all the people pulling electoral fuckery like that if he figures out how to weasel his way into office. That is, in fact, a core element of their plan, and why all the fuckery appears to be kinda proceeding in lockstep. This is also why a lot of them are so die hard for Trump - they are fully cognizant of their guilt, and know that the DoJ is going to take a long, hard look at them if Harris wins, and very likely hang together, as it were.
In a lot of red states these days, the reason is “the election officials and Secretary of State (for the state in question) have made it extremely difficult - and in some cases impossible - for me to vote”.
I’m not saying the points you’re raising are irrelevant, but honestly, just look at Texas. It SHOULD be purple/swing, the legislature there has enacted swaths of anti-democratic (small “d”) measures with the expressly partisan intent of making it effectively impossible for any party other than the GOP to win anything meaningful in the state.